XP raises 2027 inflation forecast to 5.5% and cuts GDP to 0.3%
XP raised its 2027 inflation forecast from 4.4% to 5.5% and cut its GDP growth forecast from 1.0% to 0.3%, according to InfoMoney and CNN Brasil on November 6.
Brazil's largest independent investment platform, US-listed, with retail, wholesale and banking businesses.
Last 90 days
The company reported adjusted profit of R$1.384 billion in Q2 2026, up 5% year over year, with revenue of R$5.05 billion and wholesale acceleration.
Updated November 07, 2026 · 6 verified articles
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Net inflows, product mix, take rate and the rate cycle drive the platform's revenue and profit; the group also controls financial-media outlets.
Explanatory mechanism, not a forecast or recommendation.XP raised its 2027 inflation forecast from 4.4% to 5.5% and cut its GDP growth forecast from 1.0% to 0.3%, according to InfoMoney and CNN Brasil on November 6.
XP suspended from September 21 new investments and transfers into six CDI-linked fixed income ETFs: AMAB11, DEBB11, LFIN11 and MARG11 (BTG Pactual), GICP11 (Genial) and NLFA11 (Nu). The broker cites uncertainty over the applicable rate, 15% or 25%, which depends on how the average maturity of portfolios of CDI-indexed debentures and bank notes is calculated. Existing holders are not affected and the funds keep trading on B3; Anbima says the industry position creates no tax benefit, only equivalent treatment.
XP Malls (XPML11) shareholders approved, in a September 14 material fact, the 15th quota issuance of up to R$ 800 million, with 3,632,731 quotas at R$ 110.11 plus a 0.75% distribution fee (R$ 0.82), R$ 110.93 per quota in total, and the option to double the offering on excess demand; preference rights have a September 17 record date and a B3 period from September 21 to October 1, with settlement expected on October 13. The offering is restricted to professional investors, with a minimum investment of R$ 5,065.06 and a minimum amount of R$ 30 million, and proceeds go to asset acquisition and expansion or capital structure optimisation.
A5X, a pre-operational derivatives and futures exchange that aims to compete with B3, announced on September 14 a R$ 360 million Series D round led by Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and Kaszek, at a valuation of about R$ 2.7 billion, with participation from shareholders IMC, Jump Trading, Optiver, XTX Markets and ABN Amro Clearing and the entry of XP, which exercised a purchase option; the company has raised more than R$ 730 million in four rounds, says the funds cover regulatory capital and operations to breakeven, and expects to start trading in the second quarter of 2027, after tests with regulators between October and November.
B3 announced on September 9 that BDRs of Brazilian companies listed abroad, such as Nubank, XP and Mercado Livre, may join the Ibovespa from the first half of 2027, with a 10% cap on the theoretical portfolio and the traditional liquidity, tradability and representativeness criteria; the transition schedule will come in a circular.
XP Inc. reported adjusted net profit of R$1.384 billion for the second quarter of 2026, up 5% year over year, with gross revenue of R$5.05 billion. The result was released on August 17 and is published in this edition under the 96-hour reconfirmation rule.