In brief
The government signed a decree on August 12 regulating low-voltage consumers' entry into the free power market. The model allows consumers to choose a supplier instead of buying exclusively from the local distributor in the regulated market.
Small commercial establishments, rural properties, smaller industries, hospitals and schools may migrate from November 25, 2027. Other consumers, including households, gain access from November 25, 2028.
The decree also creates a Supplier of Last Resort to preserve service if a chosen retailer fails. The opening may increase competition, but it does not guarantee an automatic reduction in the total bill, which also includes network costs, levies and taxes.
What we know
04Transmission to assets
Market read-through
The opening creates opportunities for retailers and consumers to negotiate contracts, but the net gain depends on offered prices and costs that remain on the bill.
For companies and commercial properties, greater choice may change energy costs over the medium term; any financial effect before the timetable remains an expectation.
Portfolio impact
02Consumers will be able to compare suppliers and contracts; network costs, levies and taxes remain part of the bill.
Competition may improve contracting options, while the transition requires robust protection and operating rules.
What would change the view: The effect improves with competitive offers and simple migration; it worsens with high costs, retailer failures or unclear rules.
Supplier choice may change occupancy or service expenses, with the result allocated between owners and tenants according to contracts.
Logistics properties may gain contracting alternatives, but the economic effect depends on eligibility, contracts and cost pass-through.
What would change the view: Direction will become clear only with actual offers, final rules and consumption data for eligible properties.
Direction is an explanatory hypothesis, not a forecast or recommendation.
Next signals
What to watch
- Aneel rules for migration and representation by retail agents.
- Rules, capitalization and governance of the Supplier of Last Resort.
- Commercial offers and comparisons between free-market costs and regulated tariffs.
Limits of the reporting
What remains uncertain
- Market opening does not by itself determine the discount on the total electricity bill.
- Regulatory details and suppliers' competitive response may still change the economic transmission.